Aug 08 ,2024
Synopsis
European equity markets are set to open lower amid Asian equities mostly higher Thursday. Nikkei swinging into positive territory following opening sell-off. Greater China markets outperforming. Taiwan lagging amid weakness in semis. Shares in Australia and Korea flat. S&P 500 futures turning higher after recouping earlier losses. Bonds mixed with JGB curve bear steepening while Treasury yields lower. Yen erased earlier gains while Aussie strongest against dollar. Crude and gold seeing minor gains. Bitcoin sharply higher.
In central banks, Norges Bank releases its survey of bank lending for Q2 at 10:00CET
Macroeconomic data include: France Jun trade balance, Ireland Jul CPI and UK Jul house price balance - RICS
In corporate news, DACHs region companies kicked off the session with Siemens AG (SIE.GR) Q3 EPS pre-PPA €2.66 vs consensus €2.43 and confirms FY outlook. Allianz (ALV.GR) reports Q2 core net income €2.54B vs consensus €2.36B and affirms FY24 outlook. Knorr-Bremse (KBX.GR) confirms previously reported H1 numbers. Sandoz Group (SDZ.SW) reports H1 net income $484M ex-items vs FactSet $435M [1 est]. Rheinmetall (RHM.GR) reports final Q2 numbers: EPS pre PPA from continuing operations €3.61 vs year-ago €1.49; current annual guidance confirmed.
From the Benelux, Corbion (CRBN.NA) reports H1 EPS (cont ops) €0.38 vs year-ago €0.26 and confirms FY24 outlook. SBM Offshore (SBMO.NA) reports H1 Directional EPS $0.71 vs consensus $0.63. In the UK, CRH (CRH.LN), Spirax Group (SPX.LN), Persimmon (PSN.LN), Beazley (BEZ.LN) are amongst other companies in the region expected to update the market with their latest numbers.
Macro/Politics/World News
Trump's Return Would Be 'Serious Issue' for Europe, Donohoe Says - Bloomberg
Slumping US tech stocks tempt some buyers to brave rocky market - Reuters
UK Jul house price balance (19%) vs consensus (10%) and prior (17%) - RICS
Chancellor eyes Canada-style pension reform to drive UK investment - Sky News
Italy doubles tax for wealthy foreigners - FT
Top company news
Earnings/updates
DACHs
ZURN.SW (Zurich Insurance Group) -- reports H1 net income attributable $3.03B vs consensus $2.93B; On track to exceed all the 2023-25 financial targets
ALV.GR (Allianz) -- reports Q2 core net income €2.54B vs consensus €2.36B; affirms FY24 outlook
SIE.GR (Siemens AG) -- reports Q3 EPS pre-PPA €2.66 vs consensus €2.43; confirms FY outlook
SDZ.SW (Sandoz Group) -- reports H1 net income $484M ex-items vs FactSet $435M [1 est]
VIJ.GR (Viemed Healthcare) -- reports Q2 EPS $0.04 vs year-ago $0.06
FNTN.GR (Freenet) -- reports H1 EBITDA €252.2M vs year-ago €255.2M
BSL.GR (Basler) -- reports H1 pretax income (€2.3M) vs year-ago €0.2M; narrows FY guidance
LMN.SW (lastminute.com) -- reports H1 net income €10.0M vs year-ago €7.4M; guides FY24
VTSC.GR (Vitesco Technologies Group) -- reports Q2 EBIT €81.7M vs preliminary €82M
S24.GR (Scout24) -- reports Q2 Ordinary operating EBITDA €87.0M vs consensus €85.4M; confirms FY guidance
UTDI.GR (United Internet) -- confirms prelim H1 figures and FY24 outlook as per 2-Aug update
PSM.GR (ProSiebenSat.1 Media) -- reports Q2 adjusted net income €25M vs FactSet €13.2M
GFT.GR (FT Technologies) -- reports H1 EPS €0.81 vs year-ago €0.80; Lowers FY guidance
IN0.GR (Uniper) -- reports H1 Revenue €31.73B, (42%) vs year-ago €54.48B; confirms FY guidance
Southern Europe
DOV.IM (doValue) -- reports H1 adjusted net income €6.9M vs FactSet €4M (post EU close 7-Aug)
BELA.GA (Jumbo) -- reports Jul sales ~ +2% y/y; FY guidance impacted by deteriorating conditions and is inline with company's previously disclosed scenario
Nordics
BAVA.DC (Bavarian Nordic A/S) -- receives new $156.8M (DKK1.07B) JYNNEOS order from US government
KOA.NO (Kongsberg Automotive) -- reports Q2 net income €3.7M vs year-ago (€21.7M)
MING.NO (SpareBank 1 SMN) reports Q2 net income NOK1.02B vs FactSet NOK985.1M [6 est, NOK920.6-1.05B]
SBO.NO (Selvaag Bolig) -- reports Q2 EPS NOK0.85 vs year-ago NOK0.55
Benelux
CTPNV.NA (CTP NV) -- reports Q2 adjusted EPRA EPS €0.20 vs year-ago €0.18; raises interim dividend +16% y/y; reaffirms FY adj EPRA EPS guidance
FFARM.NA (ForFarmers) -- reports Q2 EPS €0.18 vs year-ago €0.05
SBMO.NA (SBM Offshore) -- reports H1 Directional EPS $0.71 vs consensus $0.63
CRBN.NA (Corbion) -- reports H1 EPS (cont ops) €0.38 vs year-ago €0.26; confirms FY24 outlook
Russia
PHOR.RU (PhosAgro) -- reports H1 adjusted net income RUB40.64B, (27%) vs year-ago RUB55.77B
reports H1 agrochemical production +3.6% to 5.9M tonnes
M&A
INVE.B.SS (Investor) -- Investor's Patricia industries funds strategic add-on acquisition of Tianjin FeiYun Powder Equipment by subsidiary Piab Group
SHUR.BB (Shurgard Self Storage) -- acquires MietLager 365 facility in Bonn for €3.9M
BRNK.GR (Branicks Group) -- sells package of eight companies with nine properties from commercial portfolio to VIB Vermögen AG as part of share deals and receives cash inflow of ~ €94M
Healthcare
NOVN.SW (Novartis) -- FDA grants accelerated approval to Fabhalta for IgAN
SAN.FP (Sanofi) -- Sanofi's Sarclisa induction treatment in phase III trial demonstrated significantly improved progression-free survival in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma eligible for transplant
Other
DSFIR.NA (DSM-Firmenich) -- concludes new €1.8B Revolving Credit Facility
ALV.GR (Allianz) -- expands total volume of share buybacks in FY24 to €1.5B
PRX.NA (Prosus) -- The Naspers and Prosus boards announce that CFO, Basil Sgourdos, will retire effective 30-Nov-24.
Key rating changes
Upgrades
AGS.BB (Ageas) -- to buy from hold at HSBC
EOAN.GR (E.ON SE) -- to outperform from market perform at Bernstein
EQNR.NO (Equinor) -- to neutral from sell at UBS
YOU.LN (YouGov) -- to buy from neutral at UBS
Downgrades
BP.LN (BP) -- to hold from buy at HSBC
EVT.GR (Evotec) -- to sell from hold at Deutsche Bank
DNR.IM (Industrie De Nora) -- to hold from buy at Jefferies
Initiations
ENGI.FP (ENGIE) -- buy at Jefferies
Other Actions
HEXA.B.SS (Hexagon) -- transferred neutral at JPMorgan; prior rating was neutral
Data
Nikkei (0.42%) to 34942.57
Hang Seng +0.79% to 17011.79
Shanghai Composite +0.26% to 2877.43
S&P futures (0.8) vs prior close of 5227.5
€-$ +0.0010 or +0.09% to 1.0932
$-¥ (0.59) or (0.40%) to 146.10
€-¥ (0.51) or (0.32%) to 159.72
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